“SpaceX might exceed 90% of all Earth payload to orbit later this year. Once Starship is launching at high rate, probably >99%. Has to be or we can’t build a city on Mars or base on moon. We file almost no patents, so nothing stopping competition from copying us.”
The tweet archive.
15 years of Elon, fully searchable. The production archive uses Supabase as the source of truth, with 94,952 indexed tweets available in development as a full-archive fallback and a curated annotation layer for context, theory, and how major claims aged.
“Falcon going to orbit as seen from ocean https://t.co/Dclhju24ya”
“@hodgetwins I have seen no evidence of aliens. If I did, I would 💯 post about it on 𝕏 instantly! SpaceX has almost 6000 satellites in orbit and not once have we had to maneuver around aliens. 👽”
“@SciGuySpace Full & rapid reusability of booster & ship and orbital refilling of ship are the 2 fundamental technologies we aim to solve by the end of next year. Those are the critical pieces necessary to make life multiplanetary.”
“@mysteriouskat I have seen no evidence for aliens and, with ~6000 satellites orbiting Earth, I think I would know”
“Congrats SpaceX Team & @SpaceForceDoD on completing 3 orbital Vandenberg launches in 11 days! Might be a record.”
“View of the eclipse from orbit https://t.co/2jQGNhPf2v”
“SpaceX aiming for 3 launches today! One Eutelsat, which just reached orbit, and 2 @Starlink missions. https://t.co/31chkn2gIh”
“@ashleevance If things go well, SpaceX will put about 50% more tonnage in orbit this year using Falcon, which would be above 90% market share. Once Starship is in full swing building a city on Mars, it will do ~99% of all payload to orbit & beyond, as that objective requires about a megaton…”
“@FutureJurvetson @BryceSpaceTech @SpaceX SpaceX aims to make life multiplanetary, which means that the technology must be orders of magnitude better than companies that just want to put some satellites in orbit”
“Starship reached orbital velocity! Congratulations @SpaceX team!!”
“Two Falcon 9 launches today, carrying 4 Terabits/second of capacity to orbit”
“Due to continued design improvements, this Falcon 9 carried its highest ever payload of 17.5 tons of useful load to a useful orbit”
“@engineers_feed A 10% reduction in g would make orbital rockets so much easier, but a 10% increase would make them almost impossible”
“22 more Starlink 2nd generation satellites to orbit”
“@WhatsupFranks … while simultaneously leading Tesla to be the world’s most valuable car company (Model Y is the selling vehicle on Earth) and SpaceX to be the world’s most valuable space company (~80% of all payload to orbit last year). Whatever I’m doing, I should obviously keep doing it!”
“@FutureJurvetson @SpaceX And, if all goes well, SpaceX’s total launch mass to orbit will increase ~50% next year, not including Starship”
“@DanaEn803 @arstechnica @SciGuySpace The super heavy booster can be used more frequently than the ship, as it returns in about ~6 minutes and can theoretically be ready for reflght in an hour. The ship needs to complete at least one orbit, but often several to have the ground track line back up with the launch…”
“@_BRCooper @cremieuxrecueil Making life multiplanetary will require several orders of magnitude more payload to orbit”
“@thomashawk That diagram is the Hohmann transfer orbit from Earth to Mars”
“SpaceX is tracking to launch over 80% of all Earth payload to orbit this year https://t.co/DMf5tpG0kI”
“This is significantly more than any country has launched with their entire rocket fleet in a year. Second is peak Soviet Union at ~500 tons. For a present day comparison, the rest of the world has delivered ~250 tons to orbit so far this year, mostly by China.”
“Falcon has delivered over 1000 tons to orbit this year, a world record”
“More Starlinks in orbit”
“Starlink Version 2 orbital deploy”
“Congrats to @NASA & @SpaceX teams for successfully launching the Psyche probe to interplanetary transfer orbit!”
“More Starlinks to orbit”
“SpaceX is tracking to deliver ~1600 tons of payload to orbit this year. Rest of world will deliver ~400 tons, most of which is by China.”
“Astronauts returning from orbit”
“@MuskUniversity Based on the Falcon launch plan for next year, SpaceX will deliver ~90% of all Earth payload to orbit. Starship will take that to >99% in future years. These magnitudes are madness to consider, but necessary to make consciousness multiplanetary.”
“Great work by the @SpaceX team successfully launching 61 Falcon rocket missions this year! If tomorrow’s mission goes well, we will exceed last year’s flight count. SpaceX has delivered ~80% of all Earth payload mass to orbit in 2023. China is ~10% & rest of world other ~10%.”
“The Crew-7 mission for @NASA is in orbit, on its way to @Space_Station!”
“Don’t wanna jinx it, but @SpaceX is tracking to lift 80% of all mass to orbit, China ~10% & rest of world ~10%”
“Preparing for next Starship flight! This time, I think we have ~50% probability of reaching orbital velocity, however even getting to stage separation would be a win.”
“@SciGuySpace SpaceX provided its knowledge of crewed parachute systems to Boeing and we are happy to be helpful in any other ways. Designing parachutes for orbital, crewed spacecraft is much harder than it may seem. Was a major challenge for SpaceX.”
“@imPenny2x And deliver over 200 tons of payload to a useful orbit with full & rapid reusability. 50 rockets flying every 3 days on average enables over a megaton of payload to orbit per year – enough to build a self-sustaining city on Mars.”
“@MicahMaidenberg Countries & companies aim too low. Their lack of ambition is their shortfall. The mission of SpaceX is to make life multiplanetary. Even slightly succeeding in that goal results in crushingly good performance to Earth orbit.”
“38 astronauts to orbit so far!”
“@Erdayastronaut @SpaceX Starship payload is 250 to 300 tons to orbit in expendable mode. Improved thrust & Isp from Raptor will enable ~6000 ton liftoff mass.”
“@thesheetztweetz @BryceSpaceTech Any given satellite communications system can be assessed in terms of useful data transmitted per ton times total tonnage in orbit”
“@SciGuySpace Orbital rockets are a hard problem”
“@SmokeAwayyy With booster ultimately flying up to ~20 times per day & ship flying up to ~5 times per day. Useful load to Mars is ~150 metric tons, but requires ~5 orbital refilling tanker flights. Target: >1 megaton of cargo & people delivered to Mars, so that it becomes self-sustaining.”
“@SciGuySpace Provided there is no serious launch anomaly, SpaceX will deliver 80% of Earth’s payload to orbit this year. Not counting Starship.”
“169 mT to orbit this year so far”
“First Starlink v2 satellites reach orbit https://t.co/0l08568mJ9”
“@emollick This answer is wrong. All fuel on CM is hypergolic, so dumping would prevent de-orbit burn & atmospheric entry control.”
“@SciGuySpace This year should average around 400 tons of useful mass to orbit per quarter”
“Starship orbital launch attempt soon! https://t.co/sjban6T4yA https://youtu.be/T45ROgh1ChQ”
“Team turned off 1 engine just before start & 1 stopped itself, so 31 engines fired overall. But still enough engines to reach orbit!”
“Another batch of Starlinks in orbit. These will mostly support high latitude connectivity.”
