The tweet archive.

“@stats_feed The mass to orbit per year curve is really crazy”

“@ArthurMacwaters @MarioNawfal My goal is to fix government IT! This is harder than getting a rocket to orbit. Actually.”

“Congratulations on reaching orbit on the first attempt! @JeffBezos”

“@peterrhague No, we’re going straight to Mars. The Moon is a distraction. Mass to orbit is the key metric, thereafter mass to Mars surface. The former needs to be in the megaton to orbit per year range to build a self-sustaining colony on Mars.”

“@MarioNawfal Let’s not get carried away! SpaceX will probably do ~99% of Earth payload to orbit in 2026, despite the rest of industry growing. Assuming rocket launches by competitors grow at their current rate, SpaceX will probably do 99.9% of payload to orbit in 10 years, but I hope I’m…”

“A truly reusable orbital heat shield has never been made, but I think SpaceX has a decent chance of solving it in 2025 and solving it well in 2026 https://t.co/mRBFOJtNVL”

“Congrats @SpaceX team on completing 2 great orbital missions in 24 hours!”

“Testing Raptoe rocket engine restart for orbit changes”

“@peterrhague Even the “reusable” parts of STS were so difficult to refurbish that the cost per ton to orbit was significantly worse than Saturn V, which was fully expendable. Unfortunately, STS greatly set back the cause of reusability, because it made people think reusability was dumb.”

“Another 23 Starlink satellites in orbit”

“Congratulations to the @SpaceX team for completing 400 successful orbital flights of Falcon and 375 landings!!”

“@ajtourville @SpaceX A truly reusable orbital-entry-class heat shield is the single biggest technology problem remaining”

“Even if we fail at creating a Mars colony that can grow without continuous support from Earth, the absurdly ambitious nature of the goal nonetheless results in the creation of alien-level technology that is crushingly better than competitors who merely aim for Earth orbit.”

“A fully reusable rocket improves cost per ton to orbit by ~2.5 orders of magnitude”

“More Starlinks in orbit”

“A fully reusable orbital rocket is the critical breakthrough needed to make life multiplanetary”

“Special version of Starship: delete heat shield & flaps, add landing legs. This could (of course) only be used between trans lunar orbit and lunar surface, given no heat shield or flaps.”

“A fully reusable rocket with orbital refilling is the critical breakthrough needed to make life multiplanetary. For the first time in 4.5 billion years.”

“Starlink is how we are paying for humanity to get to Mars. That’s why there is a Hohmann transfer orbit diagram on the Starlink router.”

“Congrats SpaceX team on completing 3 successful orbital launches in 20 hours!”

“Another batch of Starlinks in orbit”

“20 more Starlinks in orbit”

“@astupple Rockets don’t get to orbit unless you correct a *lot* of mistakes”

“@ajtourville @Tesla It was an interesting conversation. Combustion rockets are the best way to get to Mars in the short to medium term. There is perhaps some merit to a fission rocket shuttling between low Earth orbit and low Mars orbit, but chemical rockets are well-suited to getting to orbit,…”

“More Starlinks to orbit”

“Orbital refilling is an essential technology for making life multiplanetary”

“Starship achieved a precise, soft landing in the ocean, paving the way for return to launch site and being caught by the tower arms, like the booster. Full & rapid reusability improves the cost of access to orbit & beyond by >10,000%. It is the fundamental technology…”

“@george_sowers Orbital refilling is essential to get serious tonnage to Mars and Moon”

“Achieving materially positive payload margin to a useful orbit with a fully & rapidly reusable rocket has eluded prior attempts. Many have tried to embark upon this path only to give up when it became clear that their design would have negative or negligible payload margin. This…”

“@ZealotOcelot @ajtourville @SpaceX SpaceX will deliver ~90% of all of Earth’s mass to orbit this year. Once Starship is flying regularly, SpaceX will deliver >99% of mass to orbit, unless some other company creates a large, fully reusable rocket.”

“View from Falcon upper stage as it departs Earth for interplanetary orbit”

“@ID_AA_Carmack Best case 2028, but probably 2030. If SpaceX is not smothered by regulations, then the Starship launch rate will far exceed the Falcon launch rate, as Starship fully reusable, while Falcon is only mostly reusable. Starship should be doing >1000 Earth orbit flights per year by…”

“@KanekoaTheGreat If the rest of the year goes well, SpaceX will launch close to 90% of all mass to orbit. China will be ~6% and rest of world ~4%.”

“@SciGuySpace If the rest of the year goes well, SpaceX will deliver ~90% of all Earth’s payload to orbit. China will do ~6%, rest of the world combined ~4%.”

“@Orbital_Perigee Exactly! We don’t even use patents as weapons.”

“During this mission, Dragon will travel repeatedly through the orbital altitudes of over 10 thousand satellites and bits of space debris. No room for error in our calculations.”

“@DimaZeniuk Non-SpaceX satellites in orbit also increased, but at a much slower pace. Starlink is just a different level of technology.”

“@WallStreetSilv Max payload to standard Earth reference orbit is actually ~180 tons for Starship when it is fully reusable and ~300 tons if expendable. Latter number is the apples-to-apples number comparing Starship to Saturn V. >100 tons to the Starlink orbit is the operational spec minimum.”

“@MarioNawfal Solar reflectors in orbit can do it too, but you need a lot of mass”

“SpaceX is doing a major launch every ~3 days now. Next year, a launch every ~2 days. We will probably deliver close to 90% of payload mass to Earth orbit and beyond this year. Great work by a great team!”

“@SpaceX We’re updating satellite software to run the ion thrusters at their equivalent of warp 9. Unlike a Star Trek episode, this will probably not work, but it’s worth a shot. The satellite thrusters need to raise orbit faster than atmospheric drag pulls them down or they burn up.”

“@SERobinsonJr Upper stage restart to raise perigee resulted in an engine RUD for reasons currently unknown. Team is reviewing data tonight to understand root cause. Starlink satellites were deployed, but the perigee may be too low for them to raise orbit. Will know more in a few hours.”

“@DJSnM Cool, but it’s better to use a rocket booster. Planes just can’t compete when it comes to orbital Spaceflight.”

“@seeMOUSErun @SpaceX Full and immediate reusability of an orbital rocket is the fundamental break through needed to become a multi planet species and a true spacefaring civilization”

“Another Falcon 9 launch! Falcon alone is trending to set a world record for the most amount of mass Earth delivers to orbit in a year.”

“Note, a newer version of Starship has the forward flaps shifted leeward. This will help improve reliability, ease of manufacturing and payload to orbit.”

“@Cmdr_Hadfield @SpaceX Thanks Chris! A fully and immediately reusable orbital heat shield, which (as you know) has never been made before, is the single toughest problem remaining. Being able to iterate with many ideas on many ships is key to solving this.”

“@cb_doge I hope other rocket organizations deliver more mass to orbit, but that doesn’t seem to be happening. We don’t even try to block their progress by filing patents, which almost all technology companies do.”

“@Teslaconomics Starship already reached orbital velocity, which is success for all other rockets. Achieving full reusability will be profound not for reasons of valuation, but because it will enable consciousness to extend permanently beyond Earth.”

“@buildingMadrid We don’t use patents, except to block patent trolls, so others are free to copy us. SpaceX is building the technology to extend consciousness beyond Earth, so the cost per ton to orbit & beyond must necessarily be low enough to accomplish that goal.”