“Silver lining is that mortality rate is much lower than predicted & herd immunity much higher. Good news.”
The tweet archive.
15 years of Elon, fully searchable. The production archive uses Supabase as the source of truth, with 94,952 indexed tweets available in development as a full-archive fallback and a curated annotation layer for context, theory, and how major claims aged.
“@arvnp @Jamie_Woodward_ The Standard Model is amazing for useful predictions. Truly amazing. Dark * seems sketch, but doesn’t appear to matter to our immediate future. https://t.co/CKnQSzXBZ2 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_Model”
“@bryanMackSC @RationalEtienne @thirdrowtesla @Sofiaan @ICannot_Enough @Hein_The_Slayer @rmattila74 @28delayslater @kimbal @MoWo91 @Kristennetten @vincent13031925 Hard to predict dates right now. Most likely postponed to mid May.”
“Those who predicted Tesla & EVs would be dead & autonomy would never happen are same people attacking Tesla today for 6-12 month delays, while ignoring major automakers 5+ years late. Why the double standard?”
“@tsrandall Wow, a lot of people don’t know much about how manufacturing works! If you have peak capacity of X, actual average weekly output will necessarily be less than X. First 6-12 months, it will be much less than X. Impossible to predict exact production ramp S-curve.”
“@scottwww @Tesla Gap in understanding is that $35k Model 3 production *starts* this month, but will not reach volume production until mid year. Extremely difficult to predict middle part of manufacturing S-curve.”
“Sure hope this isn’t true. It is the non-linearities, such as Siberian permafrost melting or ocean currents changing, that are most difficult to predict.”
“@thesheetztweetz @CNBC @Lebeaucarnews Am not attacking all media or even all of @CNBC. Just asked if you inform public about an analyst’s prediction track record about a subject when putting them on your show.”
“@ICannot_Enough @SimRiyat @gawwy @aperezposada @Reuters @sal19 Strange. @cnbc, is it true that you are putting on analysts with such low ratings & extremely bad prediction records? Are your viewers informed about an analyst’s track record before hearing their opinion.”
“@garyflickinger @OchamsRazr @VR0NLINE Of course, but it’s the kind of hustle that you like even with full knowledge. People can obv read the Internet & anyone who wants a refund will get one. I predict basically zero. The honest-to-goodness fun value is amazing & we’re never going to make them again.”
“1st pure solar gigawatt hour day just achieved by @SolarCity! Predict 1st terawatt hour day from all US solar < 15 years.”
“What everyone really thinks ... RT “@jonlovett: If Mayans were good at predicting the future, there'd be Mayans.””
“My first prediction of 2012 has come true: ouch, my head hurts.”
