“@stillgray Easy to predict. In fact, I did predict it.”
The tweet archive.
15 years of Elon, fully searchable. The production archive uses Supabase as the source of truth, with 94,952 indexed tweets available in development as a full-archive fallback and a curated annotation layer for context, theory, and how major claims aged.
“@DavidSacks My track record of predictions is, if anything, optimistic”
“@DavidSacks @BillAckman @joerogan @SpencerGuard @Ukraine It was a tragic waste of life for Ukraine to attack a larger army that had defense in depth, minefields and stronger artillery when Ukraine lacked armor or air superiority! Any fool could have predicted that. My recommendation a year ago was for Ukraine to entrench and apply all…”
“@PhysInHistory Unless there are some testable predictions that have surfaced”
“@paulg And woke cultists won’t go easily. My prediction is that zero people actually get fired for this debacle. Some will “choose to depart” with a massive golden parachute.”
“@Scobleizer Where Tesla video generation exceeds OpenAI is that it predicts extremely accurate physics. That is essential for self-driving.”
“The public still doesn’t understand even a tiny fraction of the power of the censorship government-industrial complex. As predicted, my companies and I came under relentless attack the moment the censorship of this platform was lifted. How far will they go to stop me?”
“@SpaceX Pretty much everything I predicted in that talk has happened or is in process of happening”
“@AdrianDittmann Great prediction!”
“@WallStreetSilv 2024 is gonna be even more crazy is my prediction”
“@ChrisDungeon While certainly not perfect, my batting average for most predictions is quite good. My schedule optimism, without which I probably wouldn’t even have tried to do many endeavors, gets the best of me sometimes, but I always deliver in the end.”
“@WholeMarsBlog I stand by my prediction that, if Tesla executes extremely well over the next 5 years, that the long term value could exceed Apple and Aramco combined”
“@GRDecter The Cramer prediction is alarming”
“@engineers_feed From the standpoint of when physics predicts an “end” to the universe, being 13.8 billion years is still extremely young https://t.co/mlVaKPONt9. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_an_expanding_universe#:~:text=22%20billion%20years%20in%20the,the%20Higgs%20field%20is%20metastable”
“@dogeofficialceo South Park predicts the future”
“@cb_doge They reek of desperation 😂 I’ve lost count of how many times they’ve predicted that 𝕏 would fail. Still here, babe.”
“@ICannot_Enough Your predictions have been very accurate”
“@cremieuxrecueil As predicted”
“The sad truth is that there are no great “social networks” right now. We may fail, as so many have predicted, but we will try our best to make there be at least one.”
“@GRDecter How many times has he predicted a crash that didn’t happen?”
“@zerohedge Predictable”
“@CoffeeBlackMD @DavidSacks Demolition Man’s prediction of the future was shockingly accurate”
“@WallStreetSilv Demolition man predicted it all https://t.co/R1vzjWBJ1I https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=exILtC-3c_I”
“@WholeMarsBlog We need to predict what pedestrians will do based on their behavior, including limb angle & direction of sight. FSD currently sees all pedestrians as cuboids, so is overly cautious. Also, diffusion seems to be more compute-efficient than transformers for vision.”
“@videotech_ My prediction is that this will be the only platform you can trust”
“@MedvedevRussiaE Those are definitely the most absurd predictions I’ve ever heard, while also showing astonishing lack of awareness of the progress of artificial intelligence and sustainable energy.”
“@GuyDealership Good prediction”
“@farzyness Accurate prediction”
“Simpson’s predicts I buy Twitter S26E12 https://t.co/yVmWGwrYY6”
“@jasondebolt The media reports with great fanfare my predictions that are late, but rarely those that come early”
“@TeslaHype An easy prediction”
“@chazman @aelluswamy Car will move on tighter gaps as we enhance NN velocity predictions for crossing traffic. 10.69.3 next month has some step-change improvements.”
“@EvaFoxU As predicted”
“@BLKMDL3 @mims Predicting macroeconomics is challenging, to say the least. My gut feel is maybe around spring or summer 2022, but not later than 2023.”
“@JonErlichman How about predictions for 2030?”
“@koolio @Jon4Lakers @Tesla Exactly. Improved memory will cause predictions to converge & reduce jitter.”
“@WholeMarsBlog Very much a beta calculation. It will evolve over time to more accurately predict crash probability.”
“@WholeMarsBlog The Tesla AI predictions are swiftly becoming superhuman – its guesses for what it can’t see well feel like ESP. It has a vastly larger training set than any human & thinks only about driving.”
“@vincent13031925 Mind of car visualization will improve a lot in coming releases. Brightness/translucency indicate confidence of neural net in predicting any given object. Acid test is being able to assess with quick glance at screen if car fully understands environment.”
“@michilumin Sorry for any confusion. Dojo is a neural network training computer optimized for video (for self-driving). Unless there is a predictable pattern to hashing Scrypt (which we will not attempt to find), it will not be competitive with ASIC-based hashing. Potatoes are delicious!”
“@TeslaGong @torybruno At least a few years before Starlink revenue is reasonably predictable. Going public sooner than that would be very painful. Will do my best to give long-term Tesla shareholders preference.”
“@Dreamweaver2oh @garyblack00 I think we’re maybe a month or two away from wide beta. But these things are hard to predict accurately. The work we had to do for pure vision driving was needed for FSD, so much more progress has been made than it would seem.”
“@BLKMDL3 @RationalEtienne @Adamklotz_ Once we can predict cash flow reasonably well, Starlink will IPO”
“@harsimranbansal @heydave7 It will most likely make sense for Starlink to go public once the revenue growth is reasonably predictable”
“@Tesmanian_com Giga Berlin-Brandenburg will be the first to use our new structural pack architecture, 4680 (world’s most advanced cells, made on-site), both front & rear body castings & advanced paint shop. Warning: with so much new technology, production timing is naturally harder to predict.”
“@vm_one1 @waEMD @SpaceX We will probably IPO Starlink, but only several years in the future when revenue growth is smooth & predictable. Public market does *not* like erratic cash flow haha. I’m a huge fan of small retail investors. Will make sure they get top priority. You can hold me to it.”
“@MarlonSIX60 Where is our prediction of probability inaccurate?”
“What can’t we predict?”
“@ICannot_Enough People read too much into this level of detail. It’s not useful for predicting the future, nor can we ourselves accurately predict what issues we will encounter on a short-term, fine-grained level.”
“@flcnhvy @ICannot_Enough @Tesla This is out of our hands, so hard to predict. Maybe on order of 10 billion km of real world driving will be enough to convince regulators.”
